Match Info

NPFL - Round 7

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Samson Siasia Sports Stadium (Yenagoa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Bayelsa United		Ikorodu City

	1	X	2
	1.69	3.13	4.8
	1.73	3.18	4.84
	1.64	3.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)	3.14 ↑ (3.13)	4.88 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayelsa United
53.1%

Draw
28.6%

Ikorodu City
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

29.1%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

28.4%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayelsa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Ikorodu City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayelsa United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Ikorodu City aligns with the current prediction.

Bayelsa United - Ikorodu City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Chiaha C. (G) 5. Biriduba G. (C) 27. Emo J. 23. Garba S. 14. Jawad M. 4. Loveday S. 26. Ogba I. 29. Ogundare A. 31. Victor P. 13. Wisdom M. 3. Yusuf I.	34. Atata M. (G) 32. Abatan A. 36. Anuba G. 20. Arumala J. 21. Christian J. 23. Odinaka A. 26. Odugbemi N. 30. Onwe K. 10. Oyedokun T. 18. Uche O. 37. Udoh G.
Substitutes
9. Akpokabowei F. 11. Amon S. 8. Chinedu E. 6. Chukwu C. 25. Edwin A. 1. Ikenne B. 10. Ofem E. 16. Oladimeji H. 7. Sheddy K.	28. Adebayo T. 38. Ibifubara D. 6. Ikechukwu E. 1. Julu D. (G) 40. Malik M. 33. Ogbonnaya J. 16. Owolabi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Emo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 🟨,
68', Adebayo T. ↓, Ibifubara D. ↑,
81', 🟨,
83', 1 - 1, Oyedokun T. ⚽,
84', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ikorodu City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bayelsa is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bayelsa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Bayelsa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayelsa United
Nigerian Premier League
27.09.25	Bendel Insurance - Bayelsa United	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Bayelsa United - Nasarawa United	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Niger Tornadoes - Bayelsa United	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Bayelsa United - Barau	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Shooting Stars - Bayelsa United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 TLLWW
- Ikorodu City FC
Nigerian Premier League
28.09.25	Ikorodu City - Enyimba	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Niger Tornadoes - Ikorodu City	4:2 ✺
14.09.25	Ikorodu City - Barau	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Shooting Stars - Ikorodu City	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Ikorodu City - El-Kanemi Warriors	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
07.05.25	Ikorodu City - Bayelsa United	3:2
08.12.24	Bayelsa United - Ikorodu City	1:0

Bayelsa United - Ikorodu City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide