Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 16

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Bayern Alzenau		Homburg

	1	X	2
	5.15	4.75	1.47
	5.15	4.82	1.49
	6.44	5.38	1.33	Watch
	5.27	4.5	1.45
	6.8	5	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.76 ↓ (7.27)	4.89 ↓ (5)	1.41 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Alzenau
16%

Draw
18.8%

Homburg
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

18.2%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8%

17.2%

73.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Alzenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Homburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Alzenau than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Homburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bayern Alzenau - Homburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Mata K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 1, Sitter L. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Bayern Alzenau is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Homburg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Homburg is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Homburg will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern Alzenau won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.4:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayern Alzenau won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Alzenau
German Regionalliga Sudwest
01.11.25	FSV Frankfurt - Bayern Alzenau	4:0 ✺
26.10.25	Sandhausen - Bayern Alzenau	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Bayern Alzenau - Astoria Walldorf	2:4 ✺
11.10.25	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Bayern Alzenau	3:2 ✺
03.10.25	Bayern Alzenau - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC 08 Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
02.11.25	Homburg - Stuttgarter Kickers	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Homburg	3:3 ✺
17.10.25	Eintracht Trier - Homburg	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Homburg - FSV Frankfurt	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Freiberg - Homburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
05.06.21	Homburg - Bayern Alzenau	3:0
19.12.20	Bayern Alzenau - Homburg	2:2
23.11.19	Bayern Alzenau - Homburg	0:2
27.07.19	Homburg - Bayern Alzenau	1:2
14.05.13	Homburg - Bayern Alzenau	3:3

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