Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Nord - Round 7

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday


	Bayern Hof		Würzburger FV

	1	X	2
	1.8	4	3.5
	1.81	3.7	3.62
	1.79	3.91	3.66	Watch
	1.79	3.78	3.65
	1.8	4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.85)	3.88 ↓ (4)	3.59 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Hof
50.9%

Draw
23.6%

Würzburger FV
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

22.6%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

23.5%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Hof has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Würzburger FV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

The ML Model estimate for Bayern Hof aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Würzburger FV than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Bayern Hof - Würzburger FV Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Schaffer S. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Weiss M. ⚽,
28', 1 - 2, Hock F. ⚽,
28', 1 - 3, Hock F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 1 - 4, Hock F. ⚽,
69', Schaffer S. 🟥,
79', 2 - 4, Gezer K. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bayern Hof won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Würzburger FV could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bayern Hof will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Bayern Hof won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 34-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Bayern Hof won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Bayern Hof
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
14.08.24	Gebenbach - Bayern Hof	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Bayern Hof - Kornburg	2:0 ✺
03.08.24	Neumarkt - Bayern Hof	3:2 ✺
31.07.24	Bayern Hof - DJK Ammerthal	1:3 ✺
27.07.24	Eintracht Münchberg - Bayern Hof	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLLW
- Würzburger FV
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
13.08.24	Würzburger FV - Neudrossenfeld	3:2 ✺
09.08.24	ATSV Erlangen - Würzburger FV	3:1 ✺
27.07.24	Gebenbach - Würzburger FV	2:2 ✺
20.07.24	Würzburger FV - Kornburg	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.06.24	Würzburger FV - Rimpar	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
11.05.24	Würzburger FV - Bayern Hof	0:4
21.10.23	Bayern Hof - Würzburger FV	0:0
25.02.23	Würzburger FV - Bayern Hof	0:0
30.07.22	Bayern Hof - Würzburger FV	2:2
26.03.22	Bayern Hof - Würzburger FV	2:2
28.08.21	Würzburger FV - Bayern Hof	1:4
16.11.19	Würzburger FV - Bayern Hof	2:1

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