Match Info

Date: 16 December 2020, Wednesday


	Bačka		Radnički Niš

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.3
	2.85	3.1	2.35
	2.7	3.1	2.28
	2.8	2.95	2.45
	2.98	3.16	2.55
	2.88	2.9	2.45
	2.8	3.1	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.63)	3.09 ↓ (3.2)	2.4 (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bačka
32.4%

Draw
29.6%

Radnički Niš
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.2%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

20.5%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bačka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Radnički Niš has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bačka than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bačka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnički Niš than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Radnički Niš could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.9%	22.2%	51.9%

Bačka - Radnički Niš Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Bačka will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Radnički Niš will win (votes: 14 - 51.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radnički Niš: 33.1% – 70.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation to Prva Liga and 9).

Bačka is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Radnički Niš is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bačka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bačka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 4-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Bačka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bačka Bačka Palanka
Serbian Superliga
13.12.20	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Bačka	2:0 ✺
07.12.20	Bačka - Metalac	3:1 ✺
29.11.20	Novi Pazar - Bačka	0:0 ✺
22.11.20	Zlatibor Čajetina - Bačka	1:0 ✺
07.11.20	Bačka - Rad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTLL
- Radnički Niš
Serbian Superliga
12.12.20	Radnički Niš - Zlatibor Čajetina	2:1 ✺
07.12.20	Rad - Radnički Niš	0:1 ✺
30.11.20	Radnički Niš - Vojvodina	0:1 ✺
Serbian Cup
25.11.20	IMT Novi Beograd - Radnički Niš	2:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
21.11.20	Inđija - Radnički Niš	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Cup
23.10.19	Radnički Niš - Bačka	2:0
Serbian Superliga
07.04.19	Radnički Niš - Bačka	5:1
03.11.18	Bačka - Radnički Niš	0:2
18.02.18	Radnički Niš - Bačka	4:0
09.09.17	Bačka - Radnički Niš	1:1
18.03.17	Bačka - Radnički Niš	1:2
15.10.16	Radnički Niš - Bačka	1:0

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