Match Info

Date: 29 August 2020, Saturday


	Bačka		Voždovac

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	5.5
	1.57	4.1	4.5
	1.57	3.85	4.2
	1.48	4	5
	1.53	4.33	5.17
	1.47	4.2	5.5
	1.52	4	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (2.44)	4.12 ↑ (3.03)	5.06 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bačka
60%

Draw
22%

Voždovac
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

29.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

21.9%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bačka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bačka's performance.

Voždovac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Voždovac might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bačka than the current prediction. (-32.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bačka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Voždovac than the current prediction. (+27.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Voždovac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.4%	2.8%	7.8%

Bačka - Voždovac Predictions

Users Predictions: 217 users predict this event. Bačka will win (votes: 194 - 89.4%). Voždovac will win (votes: 17 - 7.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 2.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bačka: 85.3% – 93.5%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation to Prva Liga and 12).

Bačka is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Voždovac is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Bačka is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bačka won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Bačka won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bačka Bačka Palanka
Serbian Superliga
22.08.20	Čukarički - Bačka	1:0 ✺
16.08.20	Bačka - Bačka Topola	1:1 ✺
09.08.20	Proleter Novi Sad - Bačka	1:1 ✺
05.08.20	Bačka - Spartak Subotica	1:3 ✺
01.08.20	Mačva Šabac - Bačka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTTLL
- FK Voždovac
Serbian Superliga
23.08.20	Voždovac - Zlatibor Čajetina	1:1 ✺
16.08.20	Rad - Voždovac	1:3 ✺
09.08.20	Voždovac - Vojvodina	1:3 ✺
05.08.20	Inđija - Voždovac	0:1 ✺
01.08.20	Voždovac - Radnik Surdulica	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
11.05.19	Voždovac - Bačka	1:0
10.11.18	Bačka - Voždovac	1:0
21.07.18	Voždovac - Bačka	1:0
18.11.17	Voždovac - Bačka	2:0
29.07.17	Bačka - Voždovac	0:3
12.03.17	Voždovac - Bačka	4:0
02.10.16	Bačka - Voždovac	2:1

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