Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 31

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion GOSiR (Gdynia)


	Bałtyk Gdynia		Sokół Kleczew

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.2
	3	3.25	2.15
	2.42	3.25	2.48
	2.56	3.42	2.48	Watch
	2.57	3.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.9)	3.36 ↓ (3.9)	2.31 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bałtyk Gdynia
34.1%

Draw
26.8%

Sokół Kleczew
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

23.3%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

22.7%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bałtyk Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Sokół Kleczew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sokół Kleczew might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bałtyk Gdynia than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokół Kleczew than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sokół Kleczew could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bałtyk Gdynia - Sokół Kleczew Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bałtyk won 1.

Bałtyk is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kleczew is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kleczew could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Bałtyk won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Bałtyk won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bałtyk Gdynia
Polish Division 3 - Group II
24.05.23	Unia Solec Kujawski - Bałtyk Gdynia	0:2 ✺
19.05.23	Bałtyk Gdynia - Swit Skolwin	1:2 ✺
14.05.23	Stolem Gniewino - Bałtyk Gdynia	1:0 ✺
06.05.23	Bałtyk Gdynia - Gedania Gdańsk	0:1 ✺
29.04.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Bałtyk Gdynia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLL
- Sokół Kleczew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
24.05.23	Sokół Kleczew - Unia Swarzędz	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Sokół Kleczew	1:0 ✺
14.05.23	Sokół Kleczew - Jarota Jarocin	7:1 ✺
06.05.23	Vineta Wolin - Sokół Kleczew	0:0 ✺
29.04.23	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Sokół Kleczew	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
29.10.22	Sokół Kleczew - Bałtyk Gdynia	2:1
20.11.21	Sokół Kleczew - Bałtyk Gdynia	2:1
08.08.21	Bałtyk Gdynia - Sokół Kleczew	2:1
15.08.20	Bałtyk Gdynia - Sokół Kleczew	0:0
24.08.19	Sokół Kleczew - Bałtyk Gdynia	2:0
01.06.19	Bałtyk Gdynia - Sokół Kleczew	4:0
10.11.18	Sokół Kleczew - Bałtyk Gdynia	2:0

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