Match Info

National League North - Round 2

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: The Eyrie (Bedford)


	Bedford Town		Darlington

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.4
	2.45	3.40	2.35
	2.55	3.4	2.4
	2.65	3.73	2.42
	2.61	3.69	2.41	Watch
	2.6	3.65	2.35
	2.6	3.53	2.5
	2.55	3.45	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.88)	3.53 ↓ (3.72)	2.4 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bedford Town
35.8%

Draw
26%

Darlington
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

25%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bedford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Bedford Town - Darlington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
38', 1 - 0, Nto E. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, McLaughlin P. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, Stanton E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 2, Payne J. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 3, McLaughlin P. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Darlington has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Darlington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bedford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Bedford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Bedford: 2.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Bedford	10	5	1	4	14:14	0	16
22	Darlington	10	2	1	7	12:21	-9	7

Last Results with these Odds

Bedford Town - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.24%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Darlington - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.79%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bedford Town
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Bedford Town - Walton & Hersham	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Bedford Town - Berkhamsted	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Bedford Town - Aldershot Town	0:0 ✺
English National League North
25.04.26	Bedford Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	South Shields - Bedford Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 WWTTT
- Darlington FC
English National League North
08.08.26	Darlington - Worksop Town	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Darlington - Rotherham United	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Darlington - Carlisle United	2:4 ✺
14.07.26	Stockton Town - Darlington	1:3 ✺
11.07.26	Redcar Athletic - Darlington	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
28.02.26	Darlington - Bedford Town	2:0
29.11.25	Bedford Town - Darlington	3:4

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