Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	Beijing EG		Chengdu Rongcheng

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.2	1.53	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.65
	4	4.25	1.6
	5	3.5	1.6
	5.12	3.87	1.68
	5	3.5	1.62
	5.2	3.68	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↑ (4.61)	3.8 ↓ (3.82)	1.62 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beijing EG
19.3%

Draw
24.1%

Chengdu Rongcheng
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

24.5%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

19.6%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing EG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Chengdu Rongcheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing EG than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chengdu Rongcheng could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Beijing EG - Chengdu Rongcheng Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Beijing EG is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chengdu Better City is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Chengdu Better City is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Beijing EG won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing EG
Chinese Jia League
30.09.20	Nei Mongol Zhongyou - Beijing EG	2:2 ✺
27.09.20	Suzhou Dongwu - Beijing EG	2:3 ✺
23.09.20	Beijing EG - Taizhou Yuanda	0:2 ✺
19.09.20	Beijing EG - Beijing Renhe	0:1 ✺
16.09.20	Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing EG	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWLLL
- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Jia League
30.09.20	Beijing Renhe - Chengdu Rongcheng	3:2 ✺
27.09.20	Nei Mongol Zhongyou - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:2 ✺
24.09.20	Chengdu Rongcheng - Suzhou Dongwu	2:1 ✺
20.09.20	Taizhou Yuanda - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2 ✺
16.09.20	Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing EG	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
16.09.20	Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing EG	1:0

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