Match Info

Date: 23 July 2021, Friday


	Bel-Abbès		Hussein Dey

	1	X	2
	2.28	3	2.95
	2.16	3	3.2
	2.23	3.18	3.36
	2.2	2.9	3.3
	2.21	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.31)	3.04 ↓ (3.18)	3.2 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bel-Abbès
41.3%

Draw
30.1%

Hussein Dey
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.9%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

20.1%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bel-Abbès has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Hussein Dey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bel-Abbès than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bel-Abbès that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hussein Dey than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hussein Dey could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.1%	6.7%	2.2%

Bel Abbès - Hussein Dey Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Bel-Abbès will win (votes: 41 - 91.1%). Hussein Dey will win (votes: 1 - 2.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bel-Abbès: 82.8% – 99.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 15).

Bel-Abbès is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hussein Dey is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Bel-Abbès won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Bel-Abbès won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USM Bel-Abbès
Algerian Ligue 1
17.07.21	Paradou - Bel-Abbès	2:0 ✺
13.07.21	Bel-Abbès - Aïn Mlila	1:0 ✺
08.07.21	USM Alger - Bel-Abbès	3:1 ✺
04.07.21	Bel-Abbès - Belouizdad	0:2 ✺
01.07.21	Tlemcen - Bel-Abbès	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL
- NA Hussein Dey
Algerian Ligue 1
18.07.21	Hussein Dey - Olympique de Médéa	3:0 ✺
14.07.21	Kabylie - Hussein Dey	1:1 ✺
08.07.21	Hussein Dey - Bordj Bou Arréridj	3:0 ✺
01.07.21	Magra - Hussein Dey	1:0 ✺
27.06.21	Hussein Dey - Saoura	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
19.02.21	Hussein Dey - Bel-Abbès	1:1
22.02.20	Hussein Dey - Bel-Abbès	1:1
12.09.19	Bel-Abbès - Hussein Dey	1:1
10.04.19	Bel-Abbès - Hussein Dey	0:0
22.09.18	Hussein Dey - Bel-Abbès	0:0
30.03.18	Bel-Abbès - Hussein Dey	0:1
28.10.17	Hussein Dey - Bel-Abbès	1:1

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