Match Info

Date: 24 August 2021, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Bel-Abbès		Constantine

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.2	3.7
	2.02	3.1	3.45
	1.96	3.35	3.3
	2.04	3.46	3.51
	2	3.2	3.5
	1.97	3.42	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.06)	3.29 ↑ (3.16)	3.49 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bel-Abbès
46.1%

Draw
27.7%

Constantine
26.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.7%

29.1%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

22.2%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bel-Abbès has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Constantine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bel-Abbès than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bel-Abbès, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constantine than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Constantine, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.7%	30.8%	11.5%

Bel Abbès - Constantine Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Bel-Abbès will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). Constantine will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bel-Abbès: 38.7% – 76.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 8).

Bel-Abbès is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Constantine is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Constantine could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bel-Abbès will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Bel-Abbès won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Bel-Abbès won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USM Bel-Abbès
Algerian Ligue 1
21.08.21	Kabylie - Bel-Abbès	0:0 ✺
18.08.21	Bel-Abbès - Olympique de Médéa	2:0 ✺
09.08.21	Bel-Abbès - Rélizane	2:2 ✺
27.07.21	Skikda - Bel-Abbès	0:3 ✺
23.07.21	Bel-Abbès - Hussein Dey	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWTWW
- CS Constantine
Algerian Ligue 1
21.08.21	Constantine - Bordj Bou Arréridj	5:4 ✺
16.08.21	Rélizane - Constantine	2:1 ✺
09.08.21	Hussein Dey - Constantine	2:1 ✺
27.07.21	Constantine - Olympique de Médéa	2:0 ✺
23.07.21	Oran - Constantine	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
21.03.21	Constantine - Bel-Abbès	1:0
23.11.19	Bel-Abbès - Constantine	2:1
04.02.19	Bel-Abbès - Constantine	0:4
Algerian Super Cup
01.11.18	Constantine - Bel-Abbès	0:1
Algerian Ligue 1
10.09.18	Constantine - Bel-Abbès	3:0
26.01.18	Bel-Abbès - Constantine	1:2
15.09.17	Constantine - Bel-Abbès	1:0

Bel-Abbès - Constantine