Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Bel-Abbès		JSM Tiaret

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Bel-Abbès
34.8%

Draw
33%

JSM Tiaret
32.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

32%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

22.3%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bel-Abbès has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bel-Abbès's form might have worsened.

JSM Tiaret has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting JSM Tiaret's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bel-Abbès than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bel-Abbès that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JSM Tiaret than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that JSM Tiaret could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 7).

Bel-Abbès is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches JSMT is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bel-Abbès will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USM Bel-Abbès
Algerian Ligue 2
04.12.21	Saïda - Bel-Abbès	2:2 ✺
29.11.21	Bel-Abbès - SC Aïn Defla	1:0 ✺
19.11.21	Kouba - Bel-Abbès	1:0 ✺
13.11.21	Bel-Abbès - El Bayadh	0:1 ✺
05.11.21	ASM Oran - Bel-Abbès	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLLL
- JSM Tiaret
Algerian Ligue 2
04.12.21	JSM Tiaret - Widad Adabi de Boufarik	2:0 ✺
29.11.21	El Harrach - JSM Tiaret	0:0 ✺
19.11.21	JSM Tiaret - SKAF Khemis Miliana	2:0 ✺
13.11.21	Témouchent - JSM Tiaret	1:0 ✺
05.11.21	JSM Tiaret - Ben Aknoun	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWLT

Bel-Abbès - JSM Tiaret