Match Info

Date: 26 May 2021, Wednesday


	Bel-Abbès		Saoura

	1	X	2
	6	3.6	1.5
	6.5	3.6	1.47
	5.8	3.7	1.51
	7.22	3.74	1.55
	6	3.6	1.52
	5.95	3.82	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.25 ↑ (4.6)	3.68 ↑ (3)	1.51 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bel-Abbès
14.6%

Draw
24.9%

Saoura
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

30.3%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

23.4%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bel-Abbès has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bel-Abbès's form might have worsened.

Saoura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saoura's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bel-Abbès than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saoura than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.8%	5.4%	83.8%

Bel Abbès - Saoura Predictions

Users Predictions: Saoura will win (31 of 37 users predict this - 83.78%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.9% – 95.66%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification)).

Bel-Abbès has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Saoura is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Saoura is indisputable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Bel-Abbès won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Bel-Abbès won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USM Bel-Abbès
Algerian Ligue 1
22.05.21	ES Sétif - Bel-Abbès	8:0 ✺
16.05.21	Bel-Abbès - Bordj Bou Arréridj	1:1 ✺
04.05.21	MC Alger - Bel-Abbès	2:1 ✺
Algerian Coupe de la Ligue
30.04.21	Olympique de Médéa - Bel-Abbès	1:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
25.04.21	Bel-Abbès - Kabylie	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- JS Saoura
Algerian Ligue 1
22.05.21	Saoura - Rélizane	5:1
16.05.21	USM Alger - Saoura	2:0 ✺
04.05.21	Saoura - Olympique de Médéa	2:0 ✺
25.04.21	Belouizdad - Saoura	2:1 ✺
26.03.21	Saoura - ES Sétif	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
16.12.19	Saoura - Bel-Abbès	0:1
04.05.19	Bel-Abbès - Saoura	1:0
05.10.18	Saoura - Bel-Abbès	3:0
20.04.18	Bel-Abbès - Saoura	0:1
Algerian Cup
03.03.18	Bel-Abbès - Saoura	2:1
Algerian Ligue 1
11.11.17	Saoura - Bel-Abbès	1:0
04.03.17	Saoura - Bel-Abbès	3:0

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