Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	Belasica		Renova

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	1.95
	3.45	3	1.96
	3.7	3.21	2.05
	3.58	3.3	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (2.88)	3.18 ↓ (3.23)	1.99 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belasica
25.4%

Draw
28.7%

Renova
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

28.1%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

20.3%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belasica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belasica's form might have worsened.

Renova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Renova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belasica than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belasica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renova than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Renova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Belasica - Renova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation to 2. MFL and 11 in the zone Relegation to 2. MFL).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Renova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Renova will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Belasica won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Belasica won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Belasica
North Macedonian 1 MFL
27.09.20	Vardar - Belasica	3:1 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
23.09.20	Rosoman 83 - Belasica	1:5 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
12.09.20	Belasica - Shkendija Tetovo	0:3 ✺
29.08.20	Makedonija Gjorče Petrov - Belasica	2:1 ✺
21.08.20	Belasica - Shkupi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL
- FK Renova
North Macedonian 1 MFL
27.09.20	Renova - Makedonija Gjorče Petrov	1:3 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
23.09.20	Ohrid - Renova	0:4 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
20.09.20	Shkupi - Renova	4:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.20	Renova - Hajduk Split	0:1 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
13.09.20	Renova - Rabotnički	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
08.05.19	Belasica - Renova	3:2
28.03.19	Renova - Belasica	3:2
22.11.18	Belasica - Renova	3:1
23.09.18	Renova - Belasica	0:2

Belasica - Renova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide