Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 31

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Tsar Samuil (Petrich)


	Belasitsa Petrich		Sportist Svoge

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.65	1.92
	2.67	3.96	2.06
	3.21	4.63	1.79	Watch
	2.8	3.8	2
	3.02	4.1	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.02)	4.03 ↑ (3.32)	1.93 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belasitsa Petrich
30.6%

Draw
22.5%

Sportist Svoge
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

27.1%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

25.6%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belasitsa Petrich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Sportist Svoge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belasitsa Petrich than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportist Svoge than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportist Svoge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Belasitsa Petrich - Sportist Svoge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Svoge (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Svoge (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sportist Svoge will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Svoge (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ivanov Vladimir (G) 88. Karaangelov P. 71. Karachanakov A. 18. Karakashev G. 9. Krastev K. 14. Marchev I. 10. Smilkov A. 8. Tasev T. 26. Valkov K. 5. Yaramov D. 4. Yovchev D.	1. Zlatinov N. (G) 23. Bua 9. Dimitrov V. 16. Georgiev S. 18. Gogov V. 8. Ivanov K. 99. Mitsis C. 73. Monteiro K. 88. Samba L. 10. Yovov K. 11. Yuri Sousa
Substitutes
91. Ahisu P. O. 7. Dimitrov Z. 19. Ergin V. 17. Filchev I. 20. Kikiowo Ayomide D. 25. Kotev K. (G) 6. Todorski M. 24. Vasilev D.	19. Balakov M. 7. Bozhilov A. 21. Chachev K. 17. Dobrev T. 87. Georgiev I. 5. Mitrov P. 22. Todorov A. 6. Velinov Y. 33. Veskov Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 🟨,
58', 🟨,
71', 1 - 0, ⚽,
86', 🟨,
87', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Belasitsa is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belasitsa won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Svoge is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Belasitsa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.6:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Belasitsa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Svoge	11	2	4	5	7:10	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Belasitsa Petrich - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 29.74%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belasitsa Petrich
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
25.04.26	Marek Dupnitsa - Belasitsa Petrich	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Belasitsa Petrich - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:4 ✺
09.04.26	Hebar Pazardzhik - Belasitsa Petrich	4:3 ✺
04.04.26	Belasitsa Petrich - Chernomorets Burgas	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Belasitsa Petrich	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLWL
- Sportist Svoge
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
26.04.26	Sportist Svoge - Dunav Ruse	3:2 ✺
16.04.26	Vihren Sandanski - Sportist Svoge	4:1 ✺
10.04.26	Sportist Svoge - CSKA Sofia II	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Spartak Pleven - Sportist Svoge	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Sportist Svoge - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
02.11.25	Sportist Svoge - Belasitsa Petrich	0:1
04.04.25	Belasitsa Petrich - Sportist Svoge	0:0
22.09.24	Sportist Svoge - Belasitsa Petrich	1:1
25.11.23	Sportist Svoge - Belasitsa Petrich	1:1
15.07.23	Belasitsa Petrich - Sportist Svoge	3:1
20.03.23	Belasitsa Petrich - Sportist Svoge	3:0
20.08.22	Sportist Svoge - Belasitsa Petrich	0:2

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