Match Info

Date: 23 January 2022, Sunday


	Belchite		Barbastro

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.55	2.23
	3.3	2.55	2.3
	3.32	2.66	2.3
	3.46	2.6	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.24)	2.59 ↓ (2.69)	2.3 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belchite
26.9%

Draw
34.4%

Barbastro
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

33%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

24.2%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belchite has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Barbastro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belchite than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belchite that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbastro than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barbastro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Belchite - Barbastro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Belchite has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Barbastro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barbastro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Barbastro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Belchite won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Belchite 97
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
09.01.22	Belchite - Illueca	0:3 ✺
19.12.21	Zaragoza B - Belchite	3:0 ✺
12.12.21	Santa Anastasia - Belchite	2:2 ✺
05.12.21	Belchite - Robres	3:4 ✺
28.11.21	Binéfar - Belchite	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTLL
- UD Barbastro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
16.01.22	Barbastro - Santa Anastasia	0:0
09.01.22	Robres - Barbastro	1:0 ✺
06.01.22	Binéfar - Barbastro	1:1 ✺
19.12.21	Barbastro - Cuarte	0:1 ✺
11.12.21	Caspe - Barbastro	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
19.09.21	Barbastro - Belchite	1:0

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