The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Belenenses U19 26.2%
Draw 28.5%
Sporting Lisbon U19 45.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.6%
27.6%
44.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
27.4%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belenenses U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Sporting Lisbon U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses U19 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon U19 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
7', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 3, ⚽,
82', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 in the zone Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belenenses U19 won 1.
Belenenses U19 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Sporting U19 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Belenenses U19 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Belenenses U19 has had a series of away games.
Sporting U19 could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Belenenses U19 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Belenenses U19 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).