Match Info

Date: 18 November 2020, Wednesday


	Belgium		Denmark

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.6	4.75
	1.72	3.6	5.25
	1.75	3.7	5.15
	1.71	3.55	4.8
	1.8	3.74	4.96
	1.63	3.6	5.25
	1.79	3.88	5.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.67)	3.67 ↓ (3.82)	5.07 ↓ (5.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgium
55.1%

Draw
26%

Denmark
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

24.9%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

14.6%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgium has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Denmark has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgium than the current prediction. (-21.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belgium that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denmark than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denmark could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.7%	3.2%	4%

Belgium - Denmark Predictions

Users Predictions: Belgium will win (230 of 248 users predict this - 92.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.51% – 95.97%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Belgium is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Denmark is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Belgium is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Belgium won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgium
UEFA Nations League
15.11.20	Belgium - England	2:0 ✺
Friendly
11.11.20	Belgium - Switzerland	2:1 ✺
UEFA Nations League
14.10.20	Iceland - Belgium	1:2 ✺
11.10.20	England - Belgium	2:1 ✺
Friendly
08.10.20	Belgium - Ivory Coast	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLT
- Denmark
UEFA Nations League
15.11.20	Denmark - Iceland	2:1 ✺
Friendly
11.11.20	Denmark - Sweden	2:0 ✺
UEFA Nations League
14.10.20	England - Denmark	0:1 ✺
11.10.20	Iceland - Denmark	0:3 ✺
Friendly
07.10.20	Denmark - Faroe Islands	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
05.09.20	Denmark - Belgium	0:2

Belgium - Denmark: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide