Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 8

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Blacksmiths Oval (Lake Macquarie)


	Belmont Swansea United		Newcastle Olympic

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.8	2.45	Watch
				Watch
	2.32	3.9	2.6
	2.46	3.89	2.46	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.5
	2.35	3.96	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.34)	3.83 ↑ (3.77)	2.51 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belmont Swansea United
39.4%

Draw
24%

Newcastle Olympic
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

24.1%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

23.9%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belmont Swansea United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Newcastle Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belmont Swansea United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Olympic than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Belmont Swansea United - Newcastle Olympic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 2, ⚽,
89', 🟥,
90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Belmont Swansea has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Belmont Swansea won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Belmont Swansea won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belmont Swansea United
Australian NPL Northern NSW
11.04.26	Belmont Swansea United - Edgeworth Eagles	4:3 ✺
27.03.26	Belmont Swansea United - Charlestown Azzurri	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Broadmeadow Magic - Belmont Swansea United	2:2 ✺
13.03.26	Belmont Swansea United - Weston Bears	2:4 ✺
07.03.26	Belmont Swansea United - Maitland	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWTLL
- Newcastle Olympic
Australian NPL Northern NSW
11.04.26	Newcastle Olympic - Broadmeadow Magic	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Newcastle Olympic - Adamstown Rosebud	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Cooks Hill United - Newcastle Olympic	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Newcastle Olympic - Maitland	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Kahibah - Newcastle Olympic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
10.08.25	Belmont Swansea United - Newcastle Olympic	2:3
06.06.25	Newcastle Olympic - Belmont Swansea United	2:2

Belmont Swansea United - Newcastle Olympic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide