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Current Win Probability
Beltinci 58.3%
Draw 23%
Krka 18.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61%
22.9%
16.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.3%
22.1%
15.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beltinci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Krka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beltinci than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krka than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Beltinci - Krka Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, ⚽,
54', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 3rd and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beltinci won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Krka may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to Beltinci as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Beltinci has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:12 (averaging 1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Beltinci against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 8:8 goals (averaging 1.1:1.1 per game).