Match Info

3. Liga - West - Round 21

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Beluša		Rača Bratislava

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	5.35
	1.51	3.96	5.05
	1.53	4.03	5.2	Watch
	1.53	3.6	5
	1.51	3.9	5.45
	1.75	3.58	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.75)	3.83 ↑ (3.58)	4.98 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beluša
58.2%

Draw
23.6%

Rača Bratislava
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25.1%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

21%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beluša has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beluša's performance.

Rača Bratislava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rača Bratislava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beluša than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beluša that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rača Bratislava than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rača Bratislava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Beluša - Rača Bratislava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 14).

Recent performances by Beluša have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rača has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Beluša may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Beluša is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beluša won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:10. (average 2.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Beluša won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Belusa	9	4	4	1	19:11	8	16
11	Raca	9	2	4	3	13:15	-2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK TJ Beluša
Slovak 3 Liga West
28.03.26	Baník HN Prievidza & Handlová - Beluša	4:1 ✺
22.03.26	Beluša - MŠK Senec	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Petrzalka B - Beluša	0:3 ✺
08.03.26	Beluša - DAC Dunajská Streda B	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Komárno B - Beluša	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWTL
- FK Rača Bratislava
Slovak 3 Liga West
29.03.26	Rača Bratislava - Nové Zámky	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Spartak Myjava - Rača Bratislava	4:1 ✺
15.03.26	Rača Bratislava - Slovan Duslo Šaľa	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Malacky - Rača Bratislava	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Gabčíkovo - Rača Bratislava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak 3 Liga West
07.09.25	Rača Bratislava - Beluša	3:5
27.04.25	Beluša - Rača Bratislava	1:1
13.10.24	Rača Bratislava - Beluša	4:0
03.03.24	Rača Bratislava - Beluša	2:3
30.08.23	Beluša - Rača Bratislava	2:0

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