Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Bembibre		Palencia CA

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	2
	3.42	3.14	2.05
	3.65	3.2	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.31)	3.2 ↓ (3.26)	2 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bembibre
26.3%

Draw
28.4%

Palencia CA
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

27.8%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

28%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bembibre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bembibre than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Bembibre - Palencia CA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 1, Apa ⚽,
79', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In recent matches, Bembibre has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Palencia CA is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bembibre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Palencia CA could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bembibre won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bembibre won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bembibre
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
18.10.25	Villaralbo - Bembibre	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Bembibre - Colegios Diocesanos	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Unionistas B - Bembibre	3:2 ✺
28.09.25	Bembibre - Guijuelo	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Leonesa B - Bembibre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLLW
- Palencia CA
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
19.10.25	Palencia CA - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	La Virgen del Camino - Palencia CA	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Palencia CA - Atlético Mansillés	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Palencia CA	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Palencia CA - Numancia B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
23.03.25	Bembibre - Palencia CA	1:1
03.11.24	Palencia CA - Bembibre	2:1
04.02.24	Palencia CA - Bembibre	1:1
16.09.23	Bembibre - Palencia CA	1:2

Bembibre - Palencia CA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide