Match Info

NIGERIA: NPFL - ROUND 19

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium (Benin City)


	Bendel Insurance		Sporting Lagos

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.11	5.87
	1.58	3.26	6.38
	1.57	3.25	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.44)	3.21 ↓ (3.63)	6.28 ↓ (7.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bendel Insurance
57.3%

Draw
28.3%

Sporting Lagos
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

25%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

24%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bendel Insurance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bendel Insurance's form might have worsened.

Sporting Lagos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bendel Insurance than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bendel Insurance, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lagos than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Bendel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bendel have a series of guest games.

In this match Bendel is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bendel Insurance FC
Nigerian Premier League
15.01.24	Bayelsa United - Bendel Insurance	2:0 ✺
28.12.23	Rivers United - Bendel Insurance	1:1 ✺
06.12.23	Heartland - Bendel Insurance	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Bendel Insurance - Lobi Stars	1:0 ✺
22.11.23	Enyimba - Bendel Insurance	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLWL
- Sporting Lagos
Nigerian Premier League
15.01.24	Sporting Lagos - Shooting Stars	2:2 ✺
07.01.24	Enyimba - Sporting Lagos	2:0 ✺
28.12.23	Plateau United - Sporting Lagos	1:0 ✺
21.12.23	Sporting Lagos - Bayelsa United	1:1 ✺
06.12.23	Abia Warriors - Sporting Lagos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLTT

Bendel Insurance - Sporting Lagos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide