The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benfica 70.7%
Draw 17.3%
Braga 11.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.9%
19.2%
12.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.7%
18.7%
12.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Benfica - Braga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pauels L. (G) 19. Amado C. 15. Costa C. 23. Gasper A. 22. Gomes D. 5. Lund M. 10. Moller C. 21. Pauleta 9. Raysla N. 17. Silva Di. 13. Sousa Alves L. C.
28. Morais P. (G) 86. Bravo N. 88. Cunha A. 14. Detrizio M. 16. Filipinha 11. Flores M. 20. Ines M. 5. Lewis L. 2. Miller M. 21. Moon A. 9. Schmidt M.
Substitutes
14. Almeida L. 6. Cameirao B. 31. Clarinha 25. Davidson C. 18. Engesvik R. 12. Lima T. (G) 7. Martin-Prieto Gutierrez C. 55. Tristao C. 16. Ucheibe C.
8. Alagoa M. 42. Castro F. 19. Correia A. 4. Dudukovich K. 12. Esgueirao I. (G) 10. Halldorsdottir A. 22. Masur S. 23. Rute A. 25. Vieira C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Schmidt M. ⚽, Bravo N. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Raysla N. ⚽, Gasper A. (A),
31', Miller M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, Silva Di. ⚽,
57', Cunha A. ↓, Rute A. ↑,
57', Flores M. ↓, Alagoa M. ↑,
61', 3 - 1, Moller C. ⚽, Silva Di. (A),
67', 4 - 1, Amado C. ⚽, Sousa Alves L. C. (A),
73', Moller C. ↓, Tristao C. ↑,
78', Ines M. ↓, Vieira C. ↑,
78', Detrizio M. ↓, Halldorsdottir A. ↑,
81', Raysla N. ↓, Martin-Prieto Gutierrez C. ↑,
81', Silva Di. ↓, Engesvik R. ↑,
84', Rute A. 🟨,
84', Bravo N. ↓, Dudukovich K. ↑,
89', Schmidt M. 🟨,
90', Gasper A. ↓, Clarinha ↑,
90', Pauleta ↓, Almeida L. ↑,
Preview
First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 4.
Benfica is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Braga has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Benfica is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:21. (average 2.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:11. (average 2.6:1.1).