The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benfica 57.8%
Draw 24%
Sporting Lisbon 18.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.1%
22.1%
14.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.5%
20.7%
13.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benfica's form might have worsened.
Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Benfica - Sporting Lisbon Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pauels L. (G) 19. Amado C. 15. Costa C. 22. Gomes D. 5. Lund M. 21. Pauleta 10. Moller C. 23. Gasper A. 13. Sousa Alves L. C. 17. Silva Di. 9. Raysla N.
33. Wozniak J. (G) 6. Eaton-Collins G. 26. Cherry M. 41. Barron A. 4. Cancelinha E. 11. Perez B. (C) 17. Claudia Neto 7. Martins J. 2. Hernandez-Gray J. 13. Santiago C. 9. Encarnacao T.
Substitutes
14. Almeida L. 6. Cameirao B. 31. Clarinha 25. Davidson C. 77. Guedes N. 53. Ines Meninas 12. Lima T. (G) 7. Martin-Prieto Gutierrez C. 16. Ucheibe C.
77. Abreu Rodrigues T. F. 20. Armengol C. 14. Arques D. 15. Bea 19. Bonsegundo F. 39. Bravo A. 8. Fontemanha R. 27. Nave M. 22. Potra C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Lund M. ⚽, Moller C. (A),
9', Eaton-Collins G. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Cherry M. ⚽, Martins J. (A),
45+6', 2 - 1, Costa C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Sousa Alves L. C. 🟨,
62', Martins J. ↓, Arques D. ↑,
62', Encarnacao T. ↓, Bonsegundo F. ↑,
69', Raysla N. ↓, Davidson C. ↑,
74', Moller C. ↓, Clarinha ↑,
75', Claudia Neto ↓, Bea ↑,
75', Hernandez-Gray J. ↓, Armengol C. ↑,
80', Pauleta ↓, Cameirao B. ↑,
81', Amado C. 🟨,
86', Perez B. ↓, Bravo A. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Davidson C. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )).
Benfica is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League Women (League phase )
Sporting is Qualified for Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3.
Benfica is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Sporting has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Benfica is considered a favorite.
We predict that Benfica will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:23. (average 2.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:13. (average 2:1.1).