The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benfica Macau 65.9%
Draw 14.6%
Hang Sai 19.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.8%
20.9%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.9%
19.4%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica Macau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica Macau's performance.
Hang Sai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hang Sai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica Macau than the current prediction. (-16%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica Macau that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hang Sai than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hang Sai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Benfica Macau - Hang Sai Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
49', 1 - 3, ⚽,
54', 1 - 4, ⚽,
59', 2 - 4, ⚽,
63', 3 - 4, ⚽,
81', 4 - 4, ⚽,
89', 4 - 5, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Elite League (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Elite League (Relegation Group: )).
Benfica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Hang Sai is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Benfica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Hang Sai has had a series of away games.
In this match, Benfica is a strong favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:3. (average 5.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:2. (average 7:1).
Watch
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