Match Info
Campeonato Nacional U19 - Championship Group - Round 4Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday
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 |
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 |
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Benfica U19 |
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Porto U19 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.2 |
3.35 |
2.82 |
|
 |
2.17 |
3.69 |
2.77 |
|
 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
|
 |
2.21 |
3.78 |
2.84 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.76) |
3.51 ↓
(3.55) |
2.81 ↑
(2.2) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Benfica U19
41.5% | Draw
26% | Porto U19
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica U19's performance.Porto U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Porto U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica U19 than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica U19 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto U19 than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Benfica U19 - Porto U19 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 11', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 17', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 26', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 31', 2 - 3, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 59', 2 - 4, ⚽,
- 74', 3 - 4, ⚽,
- 90+8', 4 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 2).Benfica U19 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Porto U19 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Benfica U19 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Benfica U19 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19 | | | 04.05.25 | Benfica U19 - Porto U19 | 2:2 | | 08.03.25 | Porto U19 - Benfica U19 | 2:3 | | 11.05.24 | Benfica U19 - Porto U19 | 1:0 | | 09.03.24 | Porto U19 - Benfica U19 | 1:3 |
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