The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benfica U19 74.1%
Draw 16.2%
Tondela U19 9.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.5%
21%
13.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.5%
20.4%
13.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica U19's performance.
Tondela U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica U19 than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica U19 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela U19 than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Benfica U19 - Tondela U19 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, ⚽,
59', 3 - 0, ⚽,
73', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group: )).
Benfica U19 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tondela U19 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Benfica U19 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Benfica U19 is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Benfica U19 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Benfica U19 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).