Match Info
Taca Revelacao U23 - Quarter-finalsDate: 11 May 2026, MondayLocation: Benfica Campus (Seixal)
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Benfica U23 |
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Braga U23 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.68 |
3.75 |
3.95 |
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 |
1.57 |
4.65 |
4.7 |
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 |
1.61 |
4.91 |
4.06 |
Watch |
 |
1.53 |
3.9 |
4.6 |
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1.49 |
4.3 |
5.06 |
Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.58 ↑ (1.35) |
4.3 ↓ (4.58) |
4.47 ↓ (7.05) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Benfica U23 58.2% | Draw 21.3% | Braga U23 20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benfica U23's form might have worsened.Braga U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Braga U23's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica U23 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga U23 than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Braga U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Benfica U23 - Braga U23 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, Vidigal S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 118', 🟥,
- Penalties (4 - 3)
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica U23 won 2.Benfica U23 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Braga U23 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Benfica U23 is seen as the favorite.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Benfica U23 won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:21. (average 1.6:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Benfica U23 won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;