Match Info

ISL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Sree Kanteerava Stadium (Bangalore)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Jiocinema
World	Onefootball


	Bengaluru		Goa

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.9
	2.41	3.1	2.95
	2.45	3.09	2.99	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.9
	2.42	3.16	2.94	Watch
	2.41	3.1	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.23)	3.16 ↓ (3.55)	2.93 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bengaluru
39.3%

Draw
29.2%

Goa
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

25.4%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

27%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bengaluru has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Goa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bengaluru than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Bengaluru - Goa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Singh S. G. (G) 25. Bhutia N. 4. Singh C. 2. Bheke R. (C) 32. Singh R. 10. Noguera A. 18. Capo P. 8. Wangjam S. 7. Williams R. 17. Mendez E. 9. Narayanan S. S.	55. Tiwari H. (G) 17. Singh B. 16. Onaindia O. (C) 3. Jhingan S. 27. Sangwan A. 15. Tavora S. 4. McHugh C. 21. Singh U. 26. Herrera B. 42. Fernandes B. 34. Guarrotxena I.
Substitutes
11. Chhetri S. 23. Fanai L. 5. Jovanovic A. 6. Patre H. 30. Pereyra J. 22. Poonia S. (G) 12. Salah M. 29. Singh C. S. 14. Varshneya S.	18. Borges R. 14. Chhetri A. 8. Drazic D. 20. Fernandes S. 41. Gupta J. 9. Sadiku A. 13. Sharma L. (G) 30. Tamang N. 10. Yasir M.
Coaches
Zaragoza G.	Marquez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', McHugh C. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Jhingan S. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Mendez E. ⚽, Bhutia N. (A),
57', Mendez E. ↓, Pereyra J. ↑,
57', Narayanan S. S. ↓, Chhetri S. ↑,
61', Williams R. 🟨,
66', Herrera B. ↓, Drazic D. ↑,
66', Fernandes B. ↓, Chhetri A. ↑,
87', Guarrotxena I. ↓, Sadiku A. ↑,
88', Wangjam S. ↓, Fanai L. ↑,
90+6', Noguera A. ↓, Patre H. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bengaluru won 0.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Bengaluru could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Bengaluru won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 31:28 (average 1.6:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Bengaluru won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:9 (average 1.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bengaluru FC
Indian ISL
29.03.25	Bengaluru - Mumbai City	5:0 ✺
11.03.25	Bengaluru - Mumbai City	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	East Bengal - Bengaluru	1:1 ✺
25.02.25	Bengaluru - Chennaiyin	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	NorthEast United - Bengaluru	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLTWW
- FC Goa
Indian ISL
08.03.25	ATK Mohun Bagan - Goa	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Goa - Mohammedan Kolkata	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Punjab - Goa	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Goa - Kerala Blasters	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Mumbai City - Goa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Indian ISL
14.12.24	Bengaluru - Goa	2:2
02.11.24	Goa - Bengaluru	3:0
14.03.24	Goa - Bengaluru	2:1
Indian Super Cup
17.01.24	Goa - Bengaluru	1:0
Indian ISL
25.10.23	Bengaluru - Goa	0:0
23.02.23	Bengaluru - Goa	3:1
26.11.22	Goa - Bengaluru	0:2

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