The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Berane 24.9%
Draw 30.2%
Lovćen 44.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.6%
31.6%
43.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.9%
30.7%
45.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Berane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Lovćen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berane than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lovćen than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Berane - Lovćen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 10th in the Relegation and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Berane won 1.
Berane has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Lovćen has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Berane may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Lovćen is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Lovćen in today's match, at odds of 2.01.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Berane has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:22 (averaging 0.9:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Berane against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 5:13 goals (averaging 0.8:2.2 per game).