Match Info

Date: 8 August 2020, Saturday


	Berga		Karlslund

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.2	1.8
	3.4	4.1	1.75
	3.5	4.5	1.7
	3.45	4.1	1.73
	3.52	4.5	1.76
	3.6	4.2	1.75
	3.56	4.18	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↓ (4.07)	4.25 ↑ (4.21)	1.76 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berga
26.1%

Draw
21.6%

Karlslund
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

21.5%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

18.5%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Karlslund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berga than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Berga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlslund than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karlslund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Berga - Karlslund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

IFK Berga has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Karlslunds is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Karlslunds could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Karlslunds will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Berga
Swedish Division 1 Norra
19.07.20	Luleå - Berga	1:0 ✺
15.07.20	Berga - Nyköping	3:4 ✺
11.07.20	Sylvia - Berga	4:2 ✺
05.07.20	Berga - Örebro Syrianska	1:2 ✺
01.07.20	Frej - Berga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Karlslunds IF HFK
Svenska Cupen
02.08.20	Skiljebo - Karlslund	1:2 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
19.07.20	Karlslund - Karlstad	3:0 ✺
15.07.20	Täby - Karlslund	0:2 ✺
11.07.20	Luleå - Karlslund	3:2 ✺
05.07.20	Karlslund - Haninge	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWLW

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