Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Södra Götaland - Round 14

Date: 29 June 2024, Saturday


	Berga		Simrishamn

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.8	3.2
	1.85	3.75	3.5
	1.8	3.61	3.46
	1.8	3.91	3.63
	1.81	3.78	3.57
	1.85	3.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.24)	3.77 ↑ (3.62)	3.48 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berga
49.8%

Draw
24.1%

Simrishamn
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

24.9%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

23.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Berga's performance.

Simrishamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Simrishamn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berga than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Berga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simrishamn than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Simrishamn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Berga - Simrishamn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Wiktorsson P. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Eliassi P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8).

Berga is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Simrishamn is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Berga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Berga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Berga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Berga
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
20.06.24	Räppe GoIF - Berga	1:0 ✺
16.06.24	Berga - Nosaby	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	Lödde - Berga	3:1 ✺
31.05.24	Berga - Karlskrona	1:2 ✺
25.05.24	Hässleholm - Berga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLL
- IFK Simrishamn
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
20.06.24	Simrishamn - Karlshamn	1:2 ✺
14.06.24	IFK Hässleholm - Simrishamn	1:2 ✺
08.06.24	Simrishamn - IFK Trelleborg	2:5 ✺
01.06.24	Simrishamn - Balkan	1:2 ✺
26.05.24	Räppe GoIF - Simrishamn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
06.04.24	Simrishamn - Berga	3:2
23.09.23	Simrishamn - Berga	3:1
03.06.23	Berga - Simrishamn	4:1

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