Match Info

Division 2 - Västra Götaland - Round 7

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Bergdalen		Onsala

	1	X	2
	7.25	5.75	1.26
	6.8	5.6	1.33
	6.17	5.56	1.3
	6.5	5.46	1.33
	6.65	5.59	1.33
	6.8	5.6	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.7 ↑ (4.75)	5.59 ↑ (4.5)	1.31 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergdalen
13.7%

Draw
16.4%

Onsala
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

19.5%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

18.9%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergdalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Onsala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Onsala's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergdalen than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Onsala than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Onsala, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bergdalen - Onsala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
76', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 ~ Promotion Group).

Recent performances by Bergdalen have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Onsala is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bergdalen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Onsala is the undeniable favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergdalens IK
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
01.05.25	Västra Frölunda - Bergdalen	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Böljan - Bergdalen	2:2 ✺
17.04.25	Bergdalen - Jonsereds	3:3 ✺
12.04.25	Laholms - Bergdalen	5:1 ✺
05.04.25	Bergdalen - Tvååker	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WTTLL
- Onsala BK
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
04.05.25	Onsala - Varbergs GIF	3:2 ✺
27.04.25	Onsala - Tvååker	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Åstorps - Onsala	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Onsala - Astrio	2:2 ✺
04.04.25	Böljan - Onsala	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTTTW

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