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Current Win Probability
Bergheim 53.8%
Draw 27.6%
Neulengbach 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
30.6%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
27.9%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bergheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bergheim's performance.
Neulengbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neulengbach might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergheim than the current prediction. (-17.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bergheim that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neulengbach than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neulengbach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bergheim - Neulengbach Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fischer M. (G) 17. Crnoja V. 16. Gierzinger C. 26. Hamzic A. 28. Illinger V. 23. Krassnig T. 9. Lutz V. 18. Orkic L. (C) 7. Schirmbrand S. 20. Spinn G. 6. Spinn L.
1. Rusek L. (G) 28. Falkensteiner M. 66. Grafl S. 36. Holl A. 16. Kittel D. 25. Kurz E. 7. Pfattner E. 13. Sarac I. 30. Tabotta J. 9. Weiss T. (C) 15. Wondrejc L.
Substitutes
4. Ganisl M. 8. Gragger C. 31. Prummer K. (G) 11. Scholz K. 27. Talwieser L.
47. Fischer L. 49. Huber T. 20. Kolbe M. 37. Morf Stoberl M. 6. Panakova K. 70. Schedl V. 26. Schieder N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Lutz V. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Crnoja V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Kurz E. 🟨,
58', Falkensteiner M. 🟨,
72', Spinn G. ↓, Talwieser L. ↑,
72', Krassnig T. ↓, Scholz K. ↑,
73', Grafl S. ↓, Panakova K. ↑,
73', Falkensteiner M. ↓, Schieder N. ↑,
90+5', Gragger C. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bergheim won 1.
Recent performances by Bergheim have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Neulengbach is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Bergheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Bergheim could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bergheim won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:37. (average 1.1:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Bergheim won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.3:2.1).
Austria
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Fischer M. (G) 
Crnoja V. 
Lutz V. 
Orkic L. (C) 
Pfattner E. 
Panakova K. 
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