Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA MITTELRHEIN - ROUND 8

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday


	Bergisch Gladbach		Glesch-Paffendorf

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.87	7.37
	1.27	5.45	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.36)	5.66 ↑ (5.42)	7.49 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergisch Gladbach
71.5%

Draw
16.2%

Glesch-Paffendorf
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

16.9%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

13%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergisch Gladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Glesch-Paffendorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergisch Gladbach than the current prediction. (-19.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bergisch Gladbach that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glesch-Paffendorf than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Glesch-Paffendorf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 11).

Recent matches Bergisch Gladbach is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Glesch-Paffendorf is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Glesch-Paffendorf could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bergisch Gladbach is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bergisch Gladbach won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Bergisch Gladbach won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergisch Gladbach
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
17.09.23	Bergisch Gladbach - Frechen	0:2 ✺
10.09.23	Bonn-Endenich - Bergisch Gladbach	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.23	Bergisch Gladbach - Köln	0:6 ✺
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
01.09.23	Siegburger - Bergisch Gladbach	1:3 ✺
27.08.23	Bergisch Gladbach - Vichttal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWL
- BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
24.09.23	Glesch-Paffendorf - Siegburger	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Vichttal - Glesch-Paffendorf	2:2 ✺
10.09.23	Glesch-Paffendorf - Fortuna Köln II	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.23	Glesch-Paffendorf - Köln II	0:2 ✺
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
03.09.23	Porz - Glesch-Paffendorf	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
04.06.23	Bergisch Gladbach - Glesch-Paffendorf	3:1
27.11.22	Glesch-Paffendorf - Bergisch Gladbach	2:1
08.05.22	Bergisch Gladbach - Glesch-Paffendorf	6:0
24.10.21	Glesch-Paffendorf - Bergisch Gladbach	0:1

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