Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Relegation Group

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Bergnäsets		Lucksta

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.73	2.81
	5.65	3.53	1.61	Watch
	2.13	3.62	2.83
	2.25	3.66	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.16)	3.64 ↑ (3.5)	2.45 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergnäsets
32.6%

Draw
27.1%

Lucksta
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

25.7%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

24.6%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergnäsets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bergnäsets's form might have worsened.

Lucksta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucksta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergnäsets than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bergnäsets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucksta than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucksta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bergnäsets - Lucksta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 0 - 2, ⚽,
69', 🟥,
90+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Lucksta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bergnäsets won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Bergnäsets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergnäsets AIK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
15.09.25	Boden City - Bergnäsets	3:2 ✺
03.09.25	Boden - Bergnäsets	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Bergnäsets - Täfteå	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Bergnäsets - Kiruna	0:3 ✺
17.08.25	Friska Viljor - Bergnäsets	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTWLL
- Lucksta IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
13.09.25	Lucksta - Boden	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Lucksta - Täfteå	1:3 ✺
03.09.25	Friska Viljor - Lucksta	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Lucksta - Kiruna	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Boden City - Lucksta	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
09.08.25	Lucksta - Bergnäsets	2:1
12.10.24	Bergnäsets - Lucksta	3:2
26.05.24	Lucksta - Bergnäsets	2:4

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