Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Nordost - Round 33

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday


	Berliner AK 07		Lokomotive Leipzig

	1	X	2
	4.33	4	1.57
	4.2	4.33	1.63
	4.4	4.15	1.68
	4.68	4.3	1.62
	4.56	4.21	1.6
	4.6	3.85	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (3.32)	4.14 ↑ (3.69)	1.62 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berliner AK 07
20.7%

Draw
22.3%

Lokomotive Leipzig
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

25.1%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

24.2%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berliner AK 07 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Berliner AK 07's form might have worsened.

Lokomotive Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotive Leipzig's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berliner AK 07 than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Berliner AK 07, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotive Leipzig than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokomotive Leipzig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Berliner AK 07 - Lokomotive Leipzig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Atilgan O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
48', 0 - 2, Atilgan O. ⚽,
56', 0 - 3, Atilgan O. (Pen),
61', 0 - 4, Zimmer L. ⚽,
78', 0 - 5, Ballo A. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Berliner AK 07 is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Berliner AK 07 won 1.

Berliner AK 07 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lokomotive Leipzig is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Berliner AK 07 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lokomotive Leipzig is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Berliner AK 07 won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Berliner AK 07 won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Berliner AK 07
German Regionalliga Nordost
03.05.24	Babelsberg - Berliner AK 07	3:0 ✺
28.04.24	Berliner AK 07 - Greifswald	0:1 ✺
21.04.24	Carl Zeiss Jena - Berliner AK 07	3:3 ✺
12.04.24	Berliner AK 07 - Eilenburg	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	Meuselwitz - Berliner AK 07	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLTLL
- Lokomotive Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
05.05.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Chemie Leipzig	0:2 ✺
27.04.24	Energie Cottbus - Lokomotive Leipzig	4:3 ✺
19.04.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Hansa Rostock II	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
06.03.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Berliner AK 07	0:0
05.05.23	Lokomotive Leipzig - Berliner AK 07	1:0
30.11.22	Berliner AK 07 - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:2
23.03.22	Berliner AK 07 - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:1
21.08.21	Lokomotive Leipzig - Berliner AK 07	1:2
23.08.20	Lokomotive Leipzig - Berliner AK 07	2:1
13.09.19	Lokomotive Leipzig - Berliner AK 07	2:2

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