Match Info

ALBANIA: FIRST DIVISION - ROUND 26

Date: 27 March 2024, Wednesday


	Besa Kavajë		Luzi United

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.75
	1.78	3.24	4.43
	1.83	3.5	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.88)	3.41 ↑ (3.38)	3.98 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Besa Kavajë
50.3%

Draw
26.7%

Luzi United
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

27%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

27.2%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Besa Kavajë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Luzi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Besa Kavajë than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzi United than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Besa Kavajë - Luzi United Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Besa will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Luzi will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luzi: 41.6% – 98.4%.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Dabo A. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Hoala K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
82', 3 - 0, Bali A. ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, Itodo P. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 1, Shurdhiqi A. ⚽,

Preview

Besa has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Luzi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Besa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Luzi to win the game is with odds 3.72.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Besa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Besa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Besa Kavajë
Albanian First Division
16.03.24	Bylis Ballsh - Besa Kavajë	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Besa Kavajë - AF Elbasani	0:5 ✺
03.03.24	Vora - Besa Kavajë	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Kastrioti - Besa Kavajë	3:1 ✺
17.02.24	Besa Kavajë - Bylis Ballsh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Luzi United
Albanian First Division
16.03.24	Tomori Berat - Luzi United	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Luzi United - Bylis Ballsh	3:1 ✺
03.03.24	AF Elbasani - Luzi United	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Luzi United - Burreli	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	AF Elbasani - Luzi United	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
12.02.24	Luzi United - Besa Kavajë	0:2
29.10.23	Besa Kavajë - Luzi United	2:0
18.03.23	Luzi United - Besa Kavajë	2:2

Besa Kavajë - Luzi United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide