Match Info

Date: 20 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Freethiel Stadion (Beveren)

Referee: Vermeire J. (Bel)


	Beveren		Excelsior Virton

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.47	4.1	5.25
	1.45	4.35	6.25
	1.49	4.3	5.4
	1.5	4.67	5.99
	1.5	3.9	5.5
	1.5	4.45	5.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.5)	4.28 ↑ (4)	5.61 ↓ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beveren
62%

Draw
21.5%

Excelsior Virton
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

23.1%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22.9%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beveren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Excelsior Virton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beveren than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Beveren - Excelsior Virton Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Beveren will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Virton will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beveren: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Beveren could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Beveren have a series of guest games.

In this match Beveren is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Beveren won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Beveren won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Beveren
Belgian Challenger Pro League
13.08.22	Beerschot Wilrijk - Beveren	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Beveren - Helmond Sport	2:1 ✺
22.07.22	ADO Den Haag - Beveren	2:1 ✺
08.07.22	Beveren - Kortrijk	Canceled ✺
02.07.22	Rupel Boom - Beveren	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWL?W
- Excelsior Virton
Belgian Challenger Pro League
12.08.22	Excelsior Virton - RWDM Brussels	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.22	NAC Breda - Excelsior Virton	2:1 ✺
20.07.22	Excelsior Virton - RAAL La Louvière	0:2 ✺
09.07.22	Kortrijk - Excelsior Virton	0:0 ✺
02.07.22	Excelsior Virton - Fola Esch	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
06.03.22	Beveren - Excelsior Virton	3:1
23.01.22	Excelsior Virton - Beveren	0:4
26.11.21	Excelsior Virton - Beveren	0:3
03.10.21	Beveren - Excelsior Virton	4:3

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