Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 2 - Round 9

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: PTIK Stadium (Jakarta)


	Bhayangkara		Nusantara United

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.2	4
	1.79	3.26	4.53	Watch
	1.77	3.3	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.12)	3.25 ↑ (2.9)	4.29 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bhayangkara
51%

Draw
27.9%

Nusantara United
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

31.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

32.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bhayangkara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bhayangkara's performance.

Nusantara United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bhayangkara than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bhayangkara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nusantara United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Bhayangkara - Nusantara United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Awan Setho (G) 5. Fatchu Rochman M. 11. Felipe Ferreira 8. Hargianto M. 19. Ichsan T. 3. Leo Silva 33. Mier M. (C) 58. Missa F. 28. Satria A. 6. Setyo A. 23. Subo W.	27. Abhirama R. (G) 71. Adam M. 12. Arrohman R. 16. Gandrum Q. 11. Hambali M. 38. Lesmana B. 7. Lestaluhu P. 22. Nasir S. (C) 32. Safrizal Y. 47. Scifo H. 73. Wibnu B.
Substitutes
21. Agung T. 18. Febriyanto T. 22. Ginanjar 29. Kusuma R. 26. Murari F. 17. Nugraha R. 7. Ragil M. 20. Rizki S. 88. Sanda A. 1. Savik A. (G) 9. Spasojevic I. 10. Sulistyawan D.	9. Afhridzal A. 23. Akbar R. 20. Al Ghony J. 15. Faisal Rizky K. A. 18. Febrianto I. 28. Fernanda Putra S. 31. Handika R. (G) 6. Izdihar I. 43. Kaicen M. (G) 30. Kharisma O. 39. Pontolaeng D. D. 13. Pratama D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Subo W. 🟨,
22', Lestaluhu P. 🟨,
23', Arrohman R. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Missa F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Hambali M. ↓, Febrianto I. ↑,
56', Lestaluhu P. ↓, Kharisma O. ↑,
73', Safrizal Y. ↓, Izdihar I. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Lesmana B. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bhayangkara FC
Indonesian Championship
21.10.24	Persijap Jepara - Bhayangkara	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	Persatuan Kota Pasuruan - Bhayangkara	0:0 ✺
07.10.24	Bhayangkara - Isenmulang Kalteng	1:0 ✺
03.10.24	Persekat Tegal - Bhayangkara	1:4 ✺
19.09.24	Bhayangkara - PSIM Yogyakarta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTWWL
- Nusantara United
Indonesian Championship
13.10.24	Persekat Tegal - Nusantara United	1:2 ✺
07.10.24	Nusantara United - PSIM Yogyakarta	1:1 ✺
02.10.24	Persikas Subang - Nusantara United	1:2 ✺
25.09.24	Nusantara United - Isenmulang Kalteng	2:1 ✺
19.09.24	Nusantara United - Persijap Jepara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWWT

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