Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Biellese		Valenzana Mado

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.60	4.40
	1.60	3.55	4.50
	1.62	3.69	4.47
	1.64	3.73	4.64	Watch
	1.60	3.65	4.40
	1.72	3.65	4.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.58)	3.65 ↑ (3.55)	4.52 ↓ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Biellese
55.3%

Draw
24.8%

Valenzana Mado
20%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57%

25.4%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

24.8%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Biellese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Valenzana Mado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Biellese than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenzana Mado than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Biellese - Valenzana Mado Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Biellese (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, ⚽,
20', 3 - 0, ⚽,
26', 4 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Serie D - Group A Playoffs and 17th in the Relegation).

Biellese is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Valenzana have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Valenzana could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Biellese for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Biellese has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:0 (averaging 2:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Biellese against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AS Biellese	9	5	2	2	17:10	7	17
17	Valenzana	9	1	2	6	9:16	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Biellese
Italian Serie D - Group A
11.10.26	Imperia - Biellese	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Biellese - Alessandria	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group A
04.10.26	Biellese - Gozzano	4:1 ✺
27.09.26	Sestri Levante - Biellese	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Biellese - Chisola	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWT
- Valenzana Mado
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Valenzana Mado - Saluzzo	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group A
04.10.26	Fezzanese - Valenzana Mado	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Valenzana Mado - Borgosesia	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Asti - Valenzana Mado	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Valenzana Mado - Alessandria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
11.01.26	Valenzana Mado - Biellese	0:2
14.09.25	Biellese - Valenzana Mado	2:0

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