Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday


	Bilje		Brežice

	1	X	2
	1.52	4	4.8
	1.53	4	4.8
	1.41	4.3	5.4
	1.4	4.27	5.91
	1.43	4.55	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.55)	4.22 ↑ (4)	5.37 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bilje
61.9%

Draw
21.4%

Brežice
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

22.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

14.7%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bilje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Brežice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bilje than the current prediction. (-24%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bilje that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brežice than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brežice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bilje - Brežice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 in the zone 2. SNL (Relegation Group) and 16 in the zone 2. SNL (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Bilje is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brežice is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bilje could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bilje is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bilje won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ND Bilje
Slovenian 2 SNL
23.10.21	Bilje - Krško	0:0 ✺
15.10.21	Triglav - Bilje	3:0 ✺
09.10.21	Bilje - Rudar Velenje	0:2 ✺
02.10.21	Primorje - Bilje	2:2 ✺
26.09.21	Bilje - Drava Ptuj	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLTW
- NK Brežice
Slovenian 2 SNL
23.10.21	Brežice - Triglav	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Rudar Velenje - Brežice	4:1 ✺
09.10.21	Brežice - Primorje	0:1 ✺
02.10.21	Drava Ptuj - Brežice	2:4 ✺
25.09.21	Brežice - Dob	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
20.03.21	Brežice - Bilje	1:3
08.09.18	Brežice - Bilje	2:1

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