The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Binéfar 27.5%
Draw 32.7%
Cuarte 39.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
31.3%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
33.1%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Binéfar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Binéfar's form might have worsened.
Cuarte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cuarte's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Binéfar than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Binéfar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuarte than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cuarte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Binéfar - Cuarte Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
69', 0 - 2, ⚽,
84', 0 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Binéfar won 3.
Binéfar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Cuarte is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Cuarte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Binéfar won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Binéfar won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2.5:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Cuarte - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.8%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.