Match Info

Professional Development League

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday


	Birmingham City U21		Swansea City U21

	1	X	2
	7	3.75	1.4
	7.53	4.08	1.42
	2.26	4.2	2.6	Watch
	7.4	4.06	1.46
	7	3.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.24 ↑ (2.42)	3.97 ↓ (4.04)	1.66 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City U21
15.8%

Draw
24.8%

Swansea City U21
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

22.5%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

21.5%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Birmingham City U21's form might have worsened.

Swansea City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swansea City U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City U21 than the current prediction. (+20.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City U21 than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swansea City U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Birmingham City U21 - Swansea City U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Woodward T. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Woodward T. ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, Havenhand K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
63', 1 - 3, Bates M. ⚽,
83', 1 - 4, Bates M. ⚽,
85', 1 - 5, Bates M. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Swansea U21 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Swansea U21 have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Birmingham U21 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:11 (average 0.5:5.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City U21
English Professional Development League
15.04.25	Charlton Athletic U21 - Birmingham City U21	3:1 ✺
11.04.25	Fleetwood Town U21 - Birmingham City U21	0:3 ✺
07.04.25	Birmingham City U21 - Bournemouth U21	3:4 ✺
01.04.25	Queens Park Rangers U21 - Birmingham City U21	0:2 ✺
28.03.25	Birmingham City U21 - Burnley U21	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWL
- Swansea City U21
English Professional Development League
25.04.25	Coventry City U21 - Swansea City U21	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	Bristol City U21 - Swansea City U21	3:4 ✺
14.04.25	Swansea City U21 - Hull City U21	1:0 ✺
08.04.25	Wigan Athletic U21 - Swansea City U21	3:1 ✺
04.04.25	Colchester United U21 - Swansea City U21	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Professional Development League
10.05.24	Swansea City U21 - Birmingham City U21	1:0
10.05.23	Swansea City U21 - Birmingham City U21	10:1

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