Match Info

Date: 4 May 2022, Wednesday


	Bitonto		Mariglianese

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.75	5.75
	1.52	3.6	5.5
	1.62	3.38	5.04
	1.53	3.4	5.5
	1.65	3.52	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.4)	3.53 ↓ (4.12)	5.38 ↓ (6.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bitonto
57.7%

Draw
25.5%

Mariglianese
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21.8%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

80.1%

27.1%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bitonto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bitonto's form might have worsened.

Mariglianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bitonto than the current prediction. (+22.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bitonto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariglianese than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mariglianese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bitonto - Mariglianese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 14).

Bitonto is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mariglianese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mariglianese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bitonto is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bitonto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Bitonto
Italian Serie D - Group H
24.04.22	Audace Cerignola - Bitonto	1:0 ✺
14.04.22	Bitonto - Lavello	0:1 ✺
10.04.22	Nardo - Bitonto	0:1 ✺
03.04.22	Bitonto - Casertana	0:2 ✺
30.03.22	Bisceglie - Bitonto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLT
- US Mariglianese
Italian Serie D - Group H
30.04.22	Mariglianese - Nardo	2:3 ✺
24.04.22	Lavello - Mariglianese	0:1 ✺
14.04.22	Mariglianese - Virtus Matino	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Casertana - Mariglianese	1:3 ✺
03.04.22	Mariglianese - Audace Cerignola	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
12.12.21	Mariglianese - Bitonto	0:2

Bitonto - Mariglianese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide