Match Info

TUNISIA: Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 12

Date: 20 December 2024, Friday

Location: Stade 15 Octobre (Bizerte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Bizertin		EGS Gafsa

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.4	6
	1.52	3.35	7
	1.55	3.4	7.52
	1.55	3.24	7.48
	1.53	3.3	7
	1.5	3.34	7.5
	1.52	3.35	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (2.02)	3.34 ↑ (2.8)	7.07 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bizertin
59.8%

Draw
27.3%

EGS Gafsa
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

32.4%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

31.9%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bizertin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bizertin's performance.

EGS Gafsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EGS Gafsa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bizertin than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bizertin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EGS Gafsa than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EGS Gafsa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Bizertin - EGS Gafsa Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bizertin will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Krir A. (G) 26. Ali O. 24. Allela M. 33. Amri A. 11. Amri A. 25. Bouallegui A. 15. Cissoko I. 19. Fellahi Y. 10. Kante A. 4. Rehimi R. 6. Seydi A.	1. Jeridi R. (G) 12. Ajmani A. 21. Barbati A. 9. Ben Hassine F. 4. Chabbi A. 19. Horchani A. 18. Jebali O. 15. Mejri S. 20. Mhamedi H. 25. Traore A. 26. Yasser T.
Substitutes
1. Amdouni K. (G) 21. Ben Othman F. 18. Diop M. 20. Doukali M. 5. Ferchichi A. 2. Gueblia A. 31. Guesmi A. 9. Mechergui R. 17. Midani I.	23. Agbre N. 17. Al Omrani A. 29. Bangoura A. 28. Ben Chaieb H. 5. Chokri A. 13. Frioui A. (G) 7. Jouini A. 11. Mbarek H. 14. Messai M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Seydi A. 🟨,
24', Horchani A. 🟨,
29', Jebali O. ↓, Agbre N. ↑,
42', Rehimi R. 🟨,
45+1', Mhamedi H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Mejri S. 🟨,
55', Ali O. ↓, Midani I. ↑,
55', Cissoko I. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
55', Amri A. ↓, Guesmi A. ↑,
66', Yasser T. 🟨,
67', Mhamedi H. ↓, Jouini A. ↑,
67', Yasser T. ↓, Bangoura A. ↑,
71', Bouallegui A. ↓, Ferchichi A. ↑,
72', Mejri S. ↓, Messai M. ↑,
75', Fellahi Y. ↓, Mechergui R. ↑,
78', 🟨,
82', Agbre N. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 0, Seydi A. (Pen),
90+6', Messai M. 🟥,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bizertin won 0.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Bizertin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bizertin have a series of guest games.

Bizertin will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bizertin won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Bizertin won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bizertin
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
14.12.24	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane - Bizertin	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.12.24	Étoile du Sahel - Bizertin	1:1 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
23.11.24	Gabès - Bizertin	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Bizertin - Étoile du Sahel	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Zarzis - Bizertin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTLLL
- EGS Gafsa
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
01.12.24	Métlaoui - EGS Gafsa	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	EGS Gafsa - Stade Tunisien	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Soliman - EGS Gafsa	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	EGS Gafsa - Tataouine	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Monastir - EGS Gafsa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
23.05.24	Bizertin - EGS Gafsa	2:2
24.02.24	EGS Gafsa - Bizertin	1:0
08.05.16	Bizertin - EGS Gafsa	1:1
20.12.15	EGS Gafsa - Bizertin	0:0
09.05.15	Bizertin - EGS Gafsa	0:0
14.12.14	EGS Gafsa - Bizertin	1:2
07.05.14	EGS Gafsa - Bizertin	2:2

Bizertin - EGS Gafsa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide