Match Info

CROATIA: Druga NL - Round 10

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	Bjelovar		Jadran Poreč

	1	X	2
	1.21	5.75	9.75
	1.19	6	11
	1.19	5.63	7.88
	1.22	5.85	10.58	Watch
	1.19	5.8	11.4
	1.19	6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.34)	5.84 ↑ (4.5)	10.27 ↑ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bjelovar
75.6%

Draw
15.5%

Jadran Poreč
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

12.4%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bjelovar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bjelovar's performance.

Jadran Poreč has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bjelovar than the current prediction. (-34%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bjelovar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jadran Poreč than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jadran Poreč could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bjelovar - Jadran Poreč Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
5', 2 - 0, ⚽,
8', 2 - 1, ⚽,
17', 3 - 1, ⚽,
35', 4 - 1, ⚽,
43', 5 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
74', 5 - 2, ⚽,
85', 6 - 2, ⚽,
90', 7 - 2, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Bjelovar
Croatian Druga NL
19.10.24	Trnje Zagreb - Bjelovar	2:2 ✺
11.10.24	Bjelovar - Karlovac	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Bjelovar - Grobničan	1:1 ✺
27.09.24	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Bjelovar	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Bjelovar - Uljanik Pula	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLTTT
- Jadran Poreč
Croatian Druga NL
19.10.24	Jadran Poreč - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:1 ✺
09.10.24	Uljanik Pula - Jadran Poreč	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	Jadran Poreč - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:5 ✺
01.10.24	Hrvace - Jadran Poreč	3:2 ✺
21.09.24	Jadran Poreč - Dugo Selo	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
27.04.24	Jadran Poreč - Bjelovar	2:1
21.10.23	Bjelovar - Jadran Poreč	1:1
04.03.23	Bjelovar - Jadran Poreč	3:1

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