Match Info

Druga NL - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Bjelovar		Radnik Križevci

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.55	5.49	Watch
	2.13	3.4	2.99
	2.08	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.18)	3.82 ↑ (3.32)	3.79 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bjelovar
50.2%

Draw
24.8%

Radnik Križevci
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

27.4%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

27.4%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bjelovar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bjelovar's performance.

Radnik Križevci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Radnik Križevci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bjelovar than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bjelovar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnik Križevci than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Radnik Križevci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bjelovar - Radnik Križevci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 2 - 2, ⚽,
83', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Bjelovar is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Radnik Križevci has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bjelovar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bjelovar will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bjelovar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bjelovar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Bjelovar
Croatian Druga NL
06.09.25	Đakovo Croatia - Bjelovar	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Bjelovar - Jadran Luka Ploče	1:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
27.08.25	Uljanik Pula - Bjelovar	2:0 ✺
Croatian Druga NL
23.08.25	Varteks Varazdin - Bjelovar	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Bjelovar - Trnje Zagreb	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTLLL
- Radnik Križevci
Croatian Cup
10.09.25	Radnik Križevci - Mladost Ždralovi	0:1 ✺
Croatian Druga NL
07.09.25	Radnik Križevci - Segesta	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Lučko - Radnik Križevci	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Đakovo Croatia - Radnik Križevci	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.25	Koprivnica - Radnik Križevci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
17.05.25	Bjelovar - Radnik Križevci	2:1
16.11.24	Radnik Križevci - Bjelovar	0:2
24.02.24	Radnik Križevci - Bjelovar	2:1
19.08.23	Bjelovar - Radnik Križevci	3:2

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