Match Info

Druga NL - Round 6

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Bjelovar		Varteks Varazdin

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.20	5.75
	1.42	4.15	5.70
	1.49	3.73	6.50	Watch
	1.37	4.00	5.70
	1.53	4.33	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.34)	4.08 ↓ (4.4)	5.76 ↓ (7.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bjelovar
62.3%

Draw
22%

Varteks Varazdin
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

20.5%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

19.5%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bjelovar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Varteks Varazdin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bjelovar than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bjelovar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varteks Varazdin than the current prediction. (-4%)

Bjelovar - Varteks Varazdin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Skrlec N. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Nekic J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Prva NL and 16th in the Relegation).

Bjelovar has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Varteks is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Varteks could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Varteks has had a run of games away from home.

Bjelovar holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Bjelovar has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 0.7:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bjelovar against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bjelovar	7	4	2	1	16:9	7	14
16	Varteks Varazdin	7	1	2	4	5:13	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Bjelovar
Croatian Druga NL
19.09.26	Uskok Klis - Bjelovar	2:3 ✺
Croatian Cup
15.09.26	Bjelovar - Karlovac	0:2 ✺
Croatian Druga NL
12.09.26	Bjelovar - Grobničan	4:0 ✺
05.09.26	Radnik Križevci - Bjelovar	1:4 ✺
28.08.26	Bjelovar - Trnje Zagreb	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLWWL
- NK Varteks Varazdin
Croatian Druga NL
19.09.26	Varteks Varazdin - Inker Zaprešić	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Dugo Selo - Varteks Varazdin	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Uskok Klis - Varteks Varazdin	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Grobničan - Varteks Varazdin	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Radnik Križevci - Varteks Varazdin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
10.03.26	Bjelovar - Varteks Varazdin	2:0
23.08.25	Varteks Varazdin - Bjelovar	4:0
Croatian 3 HNL North
25.09.21	Varteks Varazdin - Bjelovar	0:0

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