Match Info

MALI: Premiere Division - Round 26

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday


	Black Stars de Badalabougou		Stade Malien

	1	X	2
	4	3	1.87
	4.53	3.21	1.72
	4.64	3.33	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↑ (4.07)	3.18 ↑ (3.06)	1.79 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Black Stars de Badalabougou
20.7%

Draw
28.5%

Stade Malien
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

30.3%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

29.4%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Black Stars de Badalabougou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Stade Malien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Black Stars de Badalabougou than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Baraka K. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Diallo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 0 - 3, Baraka K. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2).

Black Stars is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Stade Malien is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stade Malien could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Stade Malien will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Black Stars won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Black Stars won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Black Stars de Badalabougou
Malian Première Division
25.04.24	Onze Créateurs - Black Stars de Badalabougou	1:1 ✺
19.04.24	Koro - Black Stars de Badalabougou	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	Black Stars de Badalabougou - AS Police de Bamako	2:2 ✺
05.04.24	Real Bamako - Black Stars de Badalabougou	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Black Stars de Badalabougou - Bakaridjan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTTLL
- Stade Malien
Malian Première Division
06.05.24	Afrique Football Elite - Stade Malien	1:0 ✺
03.05.24	Stade Malien - Club Olympique de Bamako	5:0 ✺
22.04.24	Stade Malien - USC Kita	2:1 ✺
17.04.24	Stade Malien - Binga	3:2 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
07.04.24	Dreams - Stade Malien	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
26.12.23	Stade Malien - Black Stars de Badalabougou	0:0
13.06.23	Stade Malien - Black Stars de Badalabougou	0:0
27.12.22	Black Stars de Badalabougou - Stade Malien	0:0
24.04.22	Stade Malien - Black Stars de Badalabougou	2:0

Black Stars de Badalabougou - Stade Malien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide